ES Wasquehal vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
14º
8º
57
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Wasquehal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FUR
0 - 1
ESW
70%
20%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ESW
1 - 3
STG
31%
29%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SML
3 - 1
ESW
68%
20%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ESW
2 - 1
BOB
15%
24%
61%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
ESW
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPI
1 - 1
COL
34%
27%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 0
SPI
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FUR
1 - 0
SPI
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPI
3 - 1
STG
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SML
3 - 2
SPI
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |