Wanze / Bas-Oha vs Mormont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wanze / Bas-Oha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
WAN
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 1
GOU
43%
23%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AYW
4 - 1
WAN
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
2 - 2
MEI
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 2
WAN
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LON
2 - 2
MOR
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 2
HUY
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
MOR
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
RIC
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
MOR
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |