Wantage Town vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wantage Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
THA
2 - 4
WAN
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
KEM
4 - 0
WAN
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 1
WAN
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
WAN
2 - 2
THA
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
WAN
0 - 2
AYL
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 1
POO
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
MER
3 - 1
SWI
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
2 - 2
SAL
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 0
SWI
56%
21%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
SWI
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |