Wangen vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 2
WAN
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
WAN
1 - 0
SOL
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
WAN
2 - 4
ZOF
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 2
WAN
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
WAN
0 - 4
BAS
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAD
4 - 0
THU
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAD
1 - 3
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 1
SOL
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ZOF
0 - 2
BAD
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 0
SEN
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |