Non League Premier Southern South. Jor. 6

Walton Casuals vs Merthyr Town analysis

Walton Casuals Merthyr Town
31 ELO 29
19.5% Tilt 12.4%
22871º General ELO ranking 5374º
1055º Country ELO ranking 233º
ELO win probability
64.8%
Walton Casuals
17.7%
Draw
17.5%
Merthyr Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
Walton Casuals
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.5%
Win probability
Merthyr Town
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Walton Casuals
Merthyr Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Walton Casuals
Walton Casuals
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2018
MET
Metropolitan Police
2 - 2
Walton Casuals
WAL
52%
22%
26%
32 36 4 0
25 Aug. 2018
WAL
Walton Casuals
6 - 0
Shoreham FC
SHO
88%
8%
4%
32 9 23 0
18 Aug. 2018
TIV
Tiverton Town
5 - 1
Walton Casuals
WAL
56%
21%
24%
33 37 4 -1
14 Aug. 2018
HEN
Hendon
3 - 0
Walton Casuals
WAL
68%
18%
14%
34 43 9 -1
11 Aug. 2018
WAL
Walton Casuals
3 - 3
Basingstoke Town
BAS
55%
21%
24%
34 34 0 0

Matches

Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2018
MER
Merthyr Town
1 - 3
Frome Town
FRO
72%
16%
12%
29 21 8 0
25 Aug. 2018
FAR
Farnborough
0 - 1
Merthyr Town
MER
65%
17%
18%
28 31 3 +1
18 Aug. 2018
MER
Merthyr Town
4 - 2
Gosport Borough
GOS
78%
14%
9%
27 18 9 +1
14 Aug. 2018
MER
Merthyr Town
2 - 2
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
49%
22%
29%
27 28 1 0
11 Aug. 2018
CHE
Chesham United
0 - 3
Merthyr Town
MER
77%
14%
9%
25 39 14 +2
X