Walton Casuals vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walton Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MET
2 - 2
WAL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WAL
6 - 0
SHO
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TIV
5 - 1
WAL
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
HEN
3 - 0
WAL
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 3
BAS
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MER
1 - 3
FRO
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 1
MER
65%
17%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MER
4 - 2
GOS
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
SWI
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 3
MER
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |