Walton Casuals vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walton Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
TOW
0 - 4
WAL
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAL
3 - 1
RAM
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MER
3 - 2
WAL
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 3
SIT
58%
21%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 5
WAL
16%
21%
62%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GUE
2 - 1
FAV
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 0
GUE
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SIT
1 - 1
GUE
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GUE
1 - 2
WAL
78%
14%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PEA
2 - 0
GUE
60%
20%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |