FA Cup Previa 3
Global 3-2
Walton & Hersham vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walton & Hersham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LEA
0 - 2
WAL
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
3 - 1
UXB
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
3 - 2
LIT
15%
16%
69%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
3 - 1
CHI
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 3
WAL
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 2
HAN
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAY
2 - 2
BEA
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEA
0 - 1
DOR
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MET
2 - 3
BEA
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 1
PLY
22%
19%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +4 |