Walsall vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
WAL
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
WAL
4 - 0
HAR
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 2
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 3
COV
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
WAL
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SWI
0 - 0
SAL
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TOW
3 - 0
SWI
21%
24%
56%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WOR
5 - 1
SWI
21%
21%
58%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 4
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 0
SWI
9%
16%
76%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |