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Championship. Matchday 17

Walsall vs Crewe Alexandra analysis

Walsall Crewe Alexandra
56 ELO 56
60% Tilt -2%
6504º General ELO ranking 3079º
673º Country ELO ranking 593º
ELO win probability
67%
Walsall
18.4%
Draw
14.6%
Crewe Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
Walsall
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.6%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Walsall
+40%
+61%
Crewe Alexandra

Points and table prediction

Walsall
Their league position
Crewe Alexandra
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
12º
21
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
53
53
100%
Sheffield United
51
51
100%
Darwen FC
44
44
100%
Grimsby Town
34
34
100%
Man. City
30
30
100%
Burton Swifts
29
29
50%
Northwich Victoria
29
29
50%
Bootle FC
27
27
100%
Lincoln City
24
24
100%
Crewe Alexandra
10º
21
21
10º
50%
Port Vale
11º
21
21
11º
50%
Walsall
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Walsall
WAL
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Lincoln City
LIN
Man. City
MAC
Bootle FC
THE
Grimsby Town
GRI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Walsall
Walsall
1%
X%
2%
ELO WAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 1893
SHE
Sheffield United
3 - 0
Walsall
WAL
51%
26%
23%
1189 1296 107 -9
31 Dec. 1892
POR
Port Vale
3 - 0
Walsall
WAL
46%
27%
26%
1199 1182 -17 -10
24 Dec. 1892
WAL
Walsall
4 - 4
Bootle FC
THE
47%
27%
26%
1200 1190 10 0
17 Dec. 1892
BIR
Birmingham City
12 - 0
Walsall
WAL
47%
27%
26%
1216 1295 79 -16
26 Nov. 1892
NOR
Northwich Victoria
5 - 2
Walsall
WAL
47%
27%
26%
1226 1233 7 -10

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO CRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 1893
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 1
Bootle FC
THE
46%
27%
26%
1202 1202 0 +6
31 Dec. 1892
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 3
Birmingham City
BIR
46%
27%
27%
1211 1324 -113 -9
26 Dec. 1892
LIN
Lincoln City
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
47%
27%
26%
1211 1237 26 +1
24 Dec. 1892
GRI
Grimsby Town
4 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
49%
26%
25%
1221 1259 38 -11
03 Dec. 1892
DAR
Darwen FC
7 - 3
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
49%
26%
25%
1232 1280 48 -11