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Championship. Matchday 19

Walsall vs Burton Swifts analysis

Walsall Burton Swifts
55 ELO 57
71% Tilt 51%
5539º General ELO ranking 25406º
652º Country ELO ranking 1055º
ELO win probability
55.6%
Walsall
19.5%
Draw
24.9%
Burton Swifts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
Walsall
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.9%
Win probability
Burton Swifts
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Walsall
+54%
+77%
Burton Swifts

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
53
53
100%
Sheffield United
51
51
100%
Darwen FC
44
44
100%
Grimsby Town
34
34
100%
Man. City
30
30
100%
Burton Swifts
29
29
50%
Northwich Victoria
29
29
50%
Bootle FC
27
27
100%
Lincoln City
24
24
100%
Crewe Alexandra
10º
21
21
10º
50%
Port Vale
11º
21
21
11º
50%
Walsall
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Walsall
Burton Swifts
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Walsall
WAL
Burton Swifts
BUR
Bootle FC
THE
Port Vale
POR
Birmingham City
BIR
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Walsall
Walsall
1%
X%
2%
ELO WAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 1893
WAL
Walsall
3 - 0
Port Vale
POR
46%
28%
26%
1168 1178 -10 +10
11 Feb. 1893
WAL
Walsall
2 - 3
Northwich Victoria
NOR
45%
27%
28%
1174 1246 -72 -6
04 Feb. 1893
BUR
Burton Swifts
3 - 2
Walsall
WAL
51%
26%
23%
1179 1272 93 -5
14 Jan. 1893
WAL
Walsall
3 - 3
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
47%
27%
26%
1180 1208 -28 0
07 Jan. 1893
SHE
Sheffield United
3 - 0
Walsall
WAL
51%
26%
23%
1189 1296 107 -9

Matches

Burton Swifts
Burton Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO BUR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 1893
THE
Bootle FC
3 - 2
Burton Swifts
BUR
45%
27%
28%
1257 1196 -61 -6
11 Feb. 1893
LIN
Lincoln City
5 - 1
Burton Swifts
BUR
45%
27%
28%
1269 1205 -64 -11
06 Feb. 1893
SHE
Sheffield United
3 - 1
Burton Swifts
BUR
49%
26%
25%
1277 1305 28 -9
04 Feb. 1893
BUR
Burton Swifts
3 - 2
Walsall
WAL
51%
26%
23%
1272 1179 93 +5
14 Jan. 1893
BUR
Burton Swifts
2 - 0
Man. City
MAC
47%
27%
26%
1263 1290 -27 +9