Waikato FC vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
66%
20%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 3
AUC
20%
25%
56%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
OTA
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
OTA
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OTA
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
5 - 0
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |