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Austria Fourth Division. Baja Austria, Matchday 15

Waidhofen / Thaya vs Gaflenz analysis

Waidhofen / Thaya Gaflenz
6 ELO 10
4% Tilt 39%
13380º General ELO ranking 18196º
294º Country ELO ranking 323º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Waidhofen / Thaya
24.8%
Draw
37.2%
Gaflenz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
Waidhofen / Thaya
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.2%
Win probability
Gaflenz
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Waidhofen / Thaya
+63%
+29%
Gaflenz

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stripfing
72
72
100%
Kremser SC
59
59
100%
SC Retz
55
55
100%
Kottingbrunn
52
52
100%
Waidhofen / Thaya
51
51
100%
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
46
46
100%
Gaflenz
44
44
100%
Ardagger
40
40
100%
Zwettl
39
39
100%
Langenrohr
10º
36
36
11º
33%
Rohrbach
11º
36
36
12º
33%
Kilb
12º
36
36
10º
33%
Ortmann
13º
33
33
13º
100%
Spratzern
14º
29
29
14º
100%
St. Peter
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Rohrendorf
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Waidhofen / Thaya
Gaflenz
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gaflenz
GAF
Waidhofen / Thaya
WAI
Kottingbrunn
KOT
Rohrendorf
ROH
Zwettl
ZWE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Waidhofen / Thaya
Waidhofen / Thaya
1%
X%
2%
ELO WAI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2018
ROH
Rohrendorf
2 - 3
Waidhofen / Thaya
WAI
49%
26%
25%
109 230 121 +1
30 Oct. 2018
WAI
Waidhofen / Thaya
2 - 1
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
SCH
41%
28%
32%
108 265 -157 +1
25 Oct. 2018
LAN
Langenrohr
3 - 0
Waidhofen / Thaya
WAI
44%
27%
28%
110 137 27 -1
13 Oct. 2018
SCR
SC Retz
1 - 3
Waidhofen / Thaya
WAI
47%
27%
26%
108 266 158 +1
05 Oct. 2018
WAI
Waidhofen / Thaya
3 - 0
Kilb
SCU
41%
28%
31%
107 172 -65 +2

Matches

Gaflenz
Gaflenz
1%
X%
2%
ELO GAF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2018
GAF
Gaflenz
1 - 0
Langenrohr
LAN
44%
27%
28%
150 138 12 +1
26 Oct. 2018
SCH
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
2 - 1
Gaflenz
GAF
49%
26%
25%
151 264 113 -1
20 Oct. 2018
GAF
Gaflenz
1 - 3
SC Retz
SCR
41%
28%
31%
152 264 -112 -1
12 Oct. 2018
SCU
Kilb
1 - 0
Gaflenz
GAF
44%
27%
28%
153 170 17 -1
06 Oct. 2018
GAF
Gaflenz
1 - 3
Kremser SC
KRE
45%
27%
28%
154 258 -104 -1