Walthamstow vs Brentwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
9º
6º
72
3º
17º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 95% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walthamstow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 1
WAL
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 0
MAL
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
WHI
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 5
BED
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BED
0 - 0
WAL
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brentwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
IPS
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HTG
1 - 0
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
BRE
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 3
BAS
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |