Non League Div One Southern Central Round 37

Waltham Abbey vs AFC Dunstable analysis

Waltham Abbey AFC Dunstable
25 ELO 27
6.6% Tilt -2.7%
19945º General ELO ranking 19954º
649º Country ELO ranking 658º
ELO win probability
42%
Waltham Abbey
23.7%
Draw
34.3%
AFC Dunstable

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Waltham Abbey
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.3%
Win probability
AFC Dunstable
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Waltham Abbey
-1%
+30%
AFC Dunstable

Points and table prediction

Waltham Abbey
Their league position
AFC Dunstable
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
19º
11º
46
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Berkhamsted
85
92
100%
Biggleswade
69
73
86%
Didcot Town
66
69
53%
Walthamstow
63
67
42.5%
Ware
62
66
62.5%
Cirencester Town
58
62
21.5%
Biggleswade Town
61
62
25.5%
Hadley
55
59
27.5%
Welwyn Garden City
10º
52
58
23.5%
Kidlington
53
56
10º
59%
Waltham Abbey
11º
49
52
11º
29.5%
Thame United FC
12º
47
51
12º
41%
AFC Dunstable
13º
46
49
13º
56%
Hertford Town
15º
38
44
14º
41.5%
Aylesbury United
14º
40
44
15º
60.5%
Harlow Town
20º
6
39
16º
20%
Kempston Rovers
16º
34
37
17º
59%
Highworth Town
17º
28
29
18º
68%
FC Romania
19º
23
27
19º
71.5%
Barton Rovers
18º
23
23
20º
81.5%
Expected probabilities
Waltham Abbey
AFC Dunstable
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Waltham Abbey
AFC Dunstable
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Waltham Abbey
Waltham Abbey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2023
WAL
Walthamstow
3 - 2
Waltham Abbey
WAL
68%
19%
14%
25 35 10 0
08 Apr. 2023
WAL
Waltham Abbey
0 - 1
Aylesbury United
AYL
64%
18%
18%
25 21 4 0
01 Apr. 2023
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 3
Thame United FC
THA
59%
21%
21%
27 25 2 -2
25 Mar. 2023
BAR
Barton Rovers
0 - 2
Waltham Abbey
WAL
19%
22%
60%
25 18 7 +2
18 Mar. 2023
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 1
Kidlington
KID
39%
23%
38%
25 29 4 0

Matches

AFC Dunstable
AFC Dunstable
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2023
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
3 - 0
AFC Dunstable
AFD
40%
25%
36%
30 26 4 0
04 Apr. 2023
AYL
Aylesbury United
1 - 1
AFC Dunstable
AFD
19%
23%
58%
30 20 10 0
25 Mar. 2023
AFD
AFC Dunstable
5 - 1
FC Romania
FCR
76%
15%
9%
29 15 14 +1
21 Mar. 2023
AFD
AFC Dunstable
1 - 1
Hadley
HAD
38%
25%
37%
29 32 3 0
18 Mar. 2023
WAR
Ware
2 - 1
AFC Dunstable
AFD
56%
21%
23%
29 28 1 0