SK Beveren vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
11º
2º
14
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Beveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEE
1 - 0
WAA
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
WAA
2 - 1
HEL
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
ADO
2 - 1
WAA
41%
23%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 2
WAA
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
RUP
1 - 5
WAA
6%
13%
81%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
9 - 1
ARQ
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
RWD
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
LOU
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
VIS
1 - 3
EXC
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |