W Connection vs Police FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
CON
7 - 2
SAP
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CON
7 - 1
GUY
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
4 - 1
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
POI
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
POL
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
4 - 1
POL
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ANN
3 - 4
POL
28%
22%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 1
POL
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |