W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CON
0 - 0
CEN
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
POL
0 - 0
CON
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ANN
0 - 4
CON
15%
20%
64%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
ANN
1 - 4
DEF
20%
23%
58%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POL
4 - 0
DEF
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEF
3 - 1
POI
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
CEN
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |