W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CON
5 - 0
ANN
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
DEF
8 - 0
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 4
CEN
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
POI
1 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAL
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |