W Connection vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
61.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
RDC
46%
22%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
MOR
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 3
CON
36%
25%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
ARN
20%
20%
60%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SSC
0 - 5
ARN
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
UWI
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
ARN
0 - 0
REN
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
POR
5 - 1
ARN
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |