VVOG vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
HZV
1 - 3
VVO
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VVO
2 - 4
SVZ
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VVO
4 - 0
DRA
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
URK
1 - 2
VVO
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VVO
2 - 2
APE
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 3
GEN
72%
15%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
FLE
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SVZ
1 - 1
EXC
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
6 - 2
DRA
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HZV
3 - 1
EXC
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |