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Eerste Klasse Zat.. Matchday 12

Winsum vs Oranje Nassau analysis

Winsum Oranje Nassau
7 ELO 7
36% Tilt 62%
8936º General ELO ranking 8193º
187º Country ELO ranking 169º
ELO win probability
43.4%
Winsum
21.8%
Draw
34.8%
Oranje Nassau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
Winsum
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.8%
Win probability
Oranje Nassau
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Winsum
+30%
+79%
Oranje Nassau

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buitenpost
59
59
100%
Drachtster Boys
51
51
100%
Gorecht
43
43
100%
Winsum
39
39
100%
PKC .83
38
38
100%
GRC Groningen
33
33
50%
Be Quick Dokkum
33
33
50%
Oranje Nassau
32
32
33%
Zeerobben
32
32
10º
33%
Noordscheschut
10º
32
32
33%
Balk
11º
31
31
12º
50%
Olde Veste .54
12º
31
31
11º
50%
Blauw Wit .34
13º
30
30
13º
100%
VEV '67
14º
27
27
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Winsum
Oranje Nassau
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Oranje Nassau
ORA
Winsum
WIN
Buitenpost
BUI
Olde Veste .54
OLD
VEV '67
VEV
Blauw Wit .34
BLA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Winsum
Winsum
1%
X%
2%
ELO WIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2018
PKC
PKC .83
2 - 4
Winsum
WIN
47%
27%
26%
123 170 47 0
05 May. 2018
WIN
Winsum
1 - 2
GRC Groningen
GRC
47%
27%
26%
123 79 44 0
18 Nov. 2017
WIN
Winsum
0 - 1
Drachtster Boys
DRA
46%
27%
27%
124 142 -18 -1
04 Nov. 2017
OLD
Olde Veste .54
3 - 1
Winsum
WIN
46%
27%
27%
125 120 -5 -1
28 Oct. 2017
WIN
Winsum
1 - 1
Balk
BAL
45%
27%
28%
125 110 15 0

Matches

Oranje Nassau
Oranje Nassau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ORA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2017
ORA
Oranje Nassau
3 - 3
VEV '67
VEV
45%
27%
28%
118 103 15 0
02 Dec. 2017
BAL
Balk
1 - 2
Oranje Nassau
ORA
46%
27%
27%
118 110 -8 +1
18 Nov. 2017
BUI
Buitenpost
1 - 0
Oranje Nassau
ORA
46%
27%
27%
118 112 -6 -1
04 Nov. 2017
ORA
Oranje Nassau
4 - 2
PKC .83
PKC
42%
28%
31%
117 172 -55 +1
28 Oct. 2017
BLA
Blauw Wit .34
2 - 3
Oranje Nassau
ORA
46%
27%
27%
117 96 -21 +1