Winsum vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 1
OML
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HZV
2 - 2
WIN
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 0
BLA
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GOR
3 - 3
WIN
38%
23%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 0
VEV
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 4
BLA
12%
17%
72%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
VEV
2 - 1
LEE
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 2
BUI
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 2
LEE
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 1
BCV
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |