Winsum vs Balk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OLD
4 - 3
WIN
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 3
DRA
54%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
PKC
45%
21%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BCV
1 - 1
WIN
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BUI
0 - 0
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
GOR
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HZV
3 - 0
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
DRA
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 1
CVV
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |