Berghem Sport vs Winterswijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
12º
13º
36
2º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berghem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BEM
5 - 0
VVB
83%
10%
7%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
EFC
3 - 0
VVB
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VVB
2 - 1
TOP
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
EAV
5 - 2
VVB
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VVB
3 - 0
ERP
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Winterswijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCW
4 - 1
VOO
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 3
HEI
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
DEB
5 - 2
FCW
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCW
4 - 1
MAS
34%
22%
44%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BEM
4 - 2
FCW
77%
13%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |