Vukovar '91 vs NK Kustošija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
2º
35
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZMI
1 - 2
VUK
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VUK
0 - 0
NKD
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 2
VUK
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 1
BIJ
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PRV
0 - 2
KUS
12%
20%
69%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
KUS
0 - 3
SLO
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
KUS
0 - 1
KRU
28%
24%
49%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
KUS
0 - 3
NKJ
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 4
KUS
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |