Vukovar '91 vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
2º
54
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BIJ
1 - 1
VUK
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VUK
4 - 1
NKJ
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUB
0 - 0
VUK
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VUK
0 - 1
DUB
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MZL
0 - 2
VUK
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
RUD
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 0
HNK
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 2
KUS
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 1
CRO
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
HNK
12%
20%
67%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |