VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
6º
3º
45
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
54 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
56 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 1
VAA
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
HJK
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 0
VAA
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 2
HAK
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEI
3 - 1
VAA
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 2
SEI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
HJK
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 1
KLA
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 0
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
KLA
2 - 2
HJK
30%
23%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |