VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
2º
1º
53
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
49 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
53 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VAA
1 - 1
INT
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
VAA
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
VAA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
VAA
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VAA
2 - 1
KOO
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HJK
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
3 - 0
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SEI
2 - 3
HJK
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 3
PAO
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 0
INT
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |