VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
44
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
VAA
1 - 1
FFJ
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAA
2 - 0
KPV
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VAA
4 - 0
JJK
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KUO
1 - 1
VAA
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 0
HON
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 1
OUL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
KUO
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HJK
3 - 1
ILV
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 3
KER
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |