VPS Vaasa vs FC Haka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
3º
24
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
OUL
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 2
VAA
50%
24%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 1
VAA
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
INT
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
VAA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Haka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 0
HAK
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
CRU
29%
24%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HAK
2 - 2
INT
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 0
HAK
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
HJK
25%
27%
49%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |