Võru vs Keila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Promotion | 0% | 0% |
| Promotion playoffs | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 0% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 50% |
| Relegation | 0% | 50% |
ELO progression
KEI
VOR
RAK
LAH
TAB
PAI
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Võru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO VOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2020 |
TKA
1 - 1
VOR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 114 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
NOM
1 - 0
VOR
46%
27%
26%
|
73 | 152 | 79 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
FCE
1 - 1
VOR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 231 | 161 | +3 |
Matches
Keila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO KEI | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2020 |
TAB
0 - 3
KEI
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2020 |
KEI
0 - 4
TKA
45%
27%
28%
|
90 | 112 | -22 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2020 |
KEI
3 - 3
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 530 | -448 | +8 |