Carioca 1 Primera Ronda. Jor. 4

Volta Redonda vs Portuguesa RJ analysis

Volta Redonda Portuguesa RJ
53 ELO 48
-4.8% Tilt -9.1%
1413º General ELO ranking 1736º
51º Country ELO ranking 57º
ELO win probability
52.5%
Volta Redonda
24%
Draw
23.5%
Portuguesa RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
Volta Redonda
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.5%
Win probability
Portuguesa RJ
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Volta Redonda
-17%
-4%
Portuguesa RJ

ELO progression

Volta Redonda
Portuguesa RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Volta Redonda
Volta Redonda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2016
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Volta Redonda
VOL
76%
17%
7%
53 78 25 0
03 Feb. 2016
RES
Resende
1 - 1
Volta Redonda
VOL
51%
24%
25%
53 54 1 0
31 Jan. 2016
VOL
Volta Redonda
3 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
11%
20%
69%
51 80 29 +2
18 Nov. 2015
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 3
Portuguesa RJ
POR
49%
25%
26%
52 49 3 -1
14 Nov. 2015
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 0
Volta Redonda
VOL
30%
28%
42%
52 48 4 0

Matches

Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2016
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 5
Flamengo
FLA
8%
18%
74%
48 80 32 0
02 Feb. 2016
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
76%
17%
7%
49 75 26 -1
30 Jan. 2016
POR
Portuguesa RJ
3 - 2
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
54%
27%
20%
48 39 9 +1
28 Nov. 2015
RES
Resende
5 - 2
Portuguesa RJ
POR
52%
24%
24%
50 53 3 -2
22 Nov. 2015
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 0
Resende
RES
33%
29%
38%
50 53 3 0
X