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Austria Fourth Division. Estiria, Matchday 14

Voitsberg vs Union Gamlitz analysis

Voitsberg Union Gamlitz
15 ELO 12
72% Tilt -17%
12488º General ELO ranking 10400º
272º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
72.9%
Voitsberg
16.4%
Draw
10.7%
Union Gamlitz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
Voitsberg
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.7%
Win probability
Union Gamlitz
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Voitsberg
+94%
+2%
Union Gamlitz

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Voitsberg
30
58
23%
Mettersdorf
30
56
13%
Lafnitz II
29
55
13%
Wildon
28
54
12%
SV Union Gnas
26
50
9%
SC Bruck
26
52
11%
SC Fürstenfeld
24
52
8%
Frauental
23
40
9%
Lebring
21
42
9%
Leoben
10º
18
35
11º
10%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
11º
17
39
10º
9%
Union Gamlitz
12º
15
32
13º
11%
Hitthaller St. Michael
13º
14
33
12º
11%
Ilzer SV
14º
10
24
14º
17%
Rottenmann
15º
10
22
15º
18%
Liezen
16º
5
15
16º
41%
Expected probabilities
Voitsberg
Union Gamlitz
Champion
23% 1%
Mid-table
75% 35%
Could qualify for next round
2% 43%
Relegation
0% 21%

ELO progression

Voitsberg
VOI
Union Gamlitz
UGA
SV Union Gnas
GNA
Leoben
LBN
Hitthaller St. Michael
ESV
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Voitsberg
Voitsberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO VOI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2019
ESV
Hitthaller St. Michael
2 - 4
Voitsberg
VOI
41%
28%
31%
219 153 -66 +1
18 Oct. 2019
VOI
Voitsberg
2 - 0
SC Bruck
SCB
46%
27%
26%
217 140 77 +1
11 Oct. 2019
LAF
Lafnitz II
0 - 0
Voitsberg
VOI
47%
27%
26%
217 254 37 0
04 Oct. 2019
VOI
Voitsberg
4 - 0
Ilzer SV
ILZ
47%
27%
26%
216 173 43 +2
28 Sep. 2019
LEB
Lebring
2 - 2
Voitsberg
VOI
41%
28%
31%
216 156 -60 0

Matches

Union Gamlitz
Union Gamlitz
1%
X%
2%
ELO UGA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2019
UGA
Union Gamlitz
1 - 2
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
47%
27%
26%
173 137 36 -1
19 Oct. 2019
ROT
Rottenmann
0 - 0
Union Gamlitz
UGA
46%
27%
27%
173 165 -8 0
11 Oct. 2019
UGA
Union Gamlitz
2 - 4
Wildon
SVW
45%
27%
28%
174 266 -92 -1
05 Oct. 2019
SVF
Frauental
1 - 1
Union Gamlitz
UGA
41%
28%
31%
174 120 -54 0
27 Sep. 2019
UGA
Union Gamlitz
0 - 1
SV Union Gnas
GNA
46%
27%
27%
175 175 0 -1