VOC vs Poortugaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
16º
14º
42
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
89% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
89% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VOC
1 - 1
HEE
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 3
VOC
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 1
ASW
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZWA
5 - 4
VOC
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 2
NIE
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POO
4 - 1
HEE
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 2
POO
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
POO
2 - 0
DSO
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 3
POO
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
POO
1 - 2
HBS
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |