Vitry vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
4º
34
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
VTR
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VTR
1 - 0
ESA
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VTR
3 - 1
PAR
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
VTR
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VTR
1 - 1
LMR
51%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
AUB
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
IVR
2 - 1
BRE
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LMR
3 - 1
IVR
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IVR
1 - 1
LUL
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PSG
0 - 2
IVR
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |