Vitória vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 3
GRE
15%
25%
59%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
PPE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
20%
25%
56%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
VAS
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 2
VAS
32%
28%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |