Vitória vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
VOL
1 - 1
VIT
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
DES
3 - 1
VIT
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
73%
19%
9%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
27%
31%
42%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 1
DES
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
VOL
3 - 2
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1977 |
SER
1 - 1
FLU
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
BAH
3 - 0
SER
75%
18%
7%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
27%
31%
42%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
SER
0 - 1
AME
17%
28%
55%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |