Vitória vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 3
VIT
5%
11%
84%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 7
BAH
6%
17%
77%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
8%
18%
75%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
UNI
89%
9%
2%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |