Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 3-5
Vitória vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
CRB
2 - 2
VIT
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
PPE
3 - 3
VIT
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 0
VIT
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAM
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 0
BAH
40%
29%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 3
VAS
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 0
CEA
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
52%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
3 - 2
CEA
38%
29%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |