Vitória vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 2
VIT
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
ABC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
VIT
22%
29%
50%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
PAY
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ECS
1 - 2
VIT
37%
30%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
CON
29%
31%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FLO
2 - 1
BRA
24%
27%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
APA
32%
31%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 2
BRA
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |