Série C Temporada Regular. Jor. 11

Vitória vs Botafogo SP analysis

Vitória Botafogo SP
65 ELO 59
-11.9% Tilt -18.2%
415º General ELO ranking 1133º
30º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
53.8%
Vitória
27%
Draw
19.3%
Botafogo SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
Vitória
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
19.3%
Win probability
Botafogo SP
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
+16%
-10%
Botafogo SP

ELO progression

Vitória
Botafogo SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2022
UNI
Atlético Cearense
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
12%
26%
62%
65 40 25 0
05 Jun. 2022
VIT
Vitória
1 - 2
Volta Redonda
VOL
51%
26%
22%
66 58 8 -1
28 May. 2022
CAM
Campinense
0 - 1
Vitória
VIT
24%
30%
47%
65 54 11 +1
22 May. 2022
VIT
Vitória
3 - 0
Confiança
CON
51%
28%
22%
64 60 4 +1
19 May. 2022
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
50%
28%
22%
65 61 4 -1

Matches

Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2022
BOT
Botafogo SP
0 - 2
Aparecidense
APA
57%
25%
18%
60 55 5 0
04 Jun. 2022
CON
Confiança
2 - 1
Botafogo SP
BOT
45%
29%
27%
61 59 2 -1
29 May. 2022
BOT
Botafogo SP
2 - 2
Mirassol
MIR
38%
28%
34%
61 64 3 0
21 May. 2022
FER
Ferroviário
1 - 0
Botafogo SP
BOT
37%
30%
33%
61 56 5 0
14 May. 2022
BOT
Botafogo SP
2 - 0
ABC
ABC
48%
26%
26%
60 56 4 +1
X