Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 1-3
Vitória vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
VIT
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 3
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VIT
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
BOT
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
LIG
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |