Série A Segunda fase, ganadores, Grupo G. Jor. 9

Vitória vs Atl. Mineiro analysis

Vitória Atl. Mineiro
79 ELO 90
-14.8% Tilt -20.2%
416º General ELO ranking 60º
30º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
25.1%
Vitória
28%
Draw
47%
Atl. Mineiro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
Vitória
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
47%
Win probability
Atl. Mineiro
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória
+11%
+5%
Atl. Mineiro

ELO progression

Vitória
Atl. Mineiro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 1978
PAL
Palmeiras
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
70%
20%
10%
79 90 11 0
18 Jun. 1978
AME
América SP
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
32%
30%
38%
79 60 19 0
13 Jun. 1978
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Cruzeiro
CRZ
26%
29%
45%
80 90 10 -1
07 Jun. 1978
VIT
Vitória
1 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
47%
24%
29%
80 81 1 0
04 Jun. 1978
GOY
Goytacaz
0 - 1
Vitória
VIT
37%
29%
34%
79 69 10 +1

Matches

Atl. Mineiro
Atl. Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 1978
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
19%
23%
58%
90 68 22 0
11 Jun. 1978
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
57%
25%
18%
90 90 0 0
04 Jun. 1978
SCI
Internacional
2 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
51%
25%
24%
90 90 0 0
31 May. 1978
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
1 - 1
Mixto
MIX
81%
12%
7%
90 71 19 0
28 May. 1978
PPE
Ponte Preta
0 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
31%
24%
45%
90 81 9 0
X