Vitória Setúbal vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
12º
9º
26
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VST
2 - 0
PAÇ
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
23%
24%
54%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VST
4 - 0
VPE
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VST
1 - 2
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 2
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
RIO
5%
14%
81%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 2
AMO
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
ESA
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
OLI
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
LUS
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |