Vitória Setúbal vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
12º
9º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
VST
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
VST
2 - 1
GDF
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
VST
0 - 1
CAS
8%
16%
77%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
40%
24%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VST
0 - 3
UDL
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
CAL
34%
28%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 4
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
SCP
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |