Vitória Setúbal vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
12º
9º
22
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
VST
0 - 1
CAS
8%
16%
77%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
40%
24%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VST
0 - 3
UDL
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VST
0 - 0
AMO
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 4
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
4 - 2
GDF
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 1
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 2
GDF
45%
24%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
GDF
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |