Vitória Setúbal vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
47.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
24%
26%
49%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
VST
3 - 1
BOA
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
SCP
0 - 0
VST
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VST
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
24%
26%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FCP
6 - 0
EST
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LEX
1 - 2
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |