Vitória Setúbal vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
76.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
40%
24%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VST
0 - 3
UDL
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VST
0 - 0
AMO
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VST
3 - 5
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
CAS
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAS
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
TRO
80%
14%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
SPB
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |