Vitória Setúbal vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
VST
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
VST
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COR
0 - 2
VST
4%
11%
84%
|
79 | 25 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
VST
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 1
TON
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEX
1 - 2
ARO
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 0
ARO
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 2
BEL
36%
29%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |