Liga 3 Série B. Jor. 11

Vitória Setúbal vs Amora FC analysis

Vitória Setúbal Amora FC
45 ELO 45
2.1% Tilt 10.6%
4076º General ELO ranking 5860º
64º Country ELO ranking 106º
ELO win probability
54%
Vitória Setúbal
23.4%
Draw
22.7%
Amora FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Vitória Setúbal
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
Amora FC
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória Setúbal
+42%
-24%
Amora FC

Points and table prediction

Vitória Setúbal
Their league position
Amora FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
48
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Amora FC
48
48
100%
União de Leiria
47
47
100%
FC Alverca
40
40
100%
Os Belenenses
35
35
100%
Sporting CP II
34
34
100%
Caldas
31
31
100%
Oliveira Hospital
26
26
0%
Académica
25
26
0%
Vitória Setúbal
23
23
100%
Fontinhas
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Real Sport Clube
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Moncarapachense
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vitória Setúbal
Amora FC
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Vitória Setúbal
Amora FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória Setúbal
Vitória Setúbal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
BEL
Os Belenenses
2 - 1
Vitória Setúbal
VST
59%
23%
19%
46 54 8 0
13 Nov. 2022
VST
Vitória Setúbal
3 - 5
Real Sport Clube
REA
75%
16%
9%
47 35 12 -1
09 Nov. 2022
PER
Pêro Pinheiro
1 - 4
Vitória Setúbal
VST
17%
21%
62%
46 36 10 +1
05 Nov. 2022
ACA
Académica
3 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
37%
25%
39%
48 45 3 -2
29 Oct. 2022
VST
Vitória Setúbal
1 - 1
FC Alverca
ALV
63%
21%
16%
48 43 5 0

Matches

Amora FC
Amora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
AMO
Amora FC
6 - 0
Moncarapachense
MON
62%
23%
16%
44 38 6 0
13 Nov. 2022
CAL
Caldas
0 - 1
Amora FC
AMO
43%
26%
31%
44 43 1 0
06 Nov. 2022
AMO
Amora FC
2 - 0
Fontinhas
GDF
42%
26%
33%
43 45 2 +1
23 Oct. 2022
AMO
Amora FC
2 - 1
União de Leiria
UDL
36%
27%
37%
42 45 3 +1
14 Oct. 2022
AMO
Amora FC
2 - 3
Estoril
EST
8%
18%
74%
42 70 28 0
X